4 years ago by rendall
There's an entire genre of these kinds of books that extrapolate generalities (life throughout the Universe) from a single data point (life on Earth), but the truth is, that's not even an educated guess.
We do not know if our evolutionary pressures are universal. We do not know if the evolutionary solutions developed here are appropriate even on other Earth-like planets, much less everywhere. Sensitive dependence on initial conditions could lead to radically different planetary environments, necessitating radically different mechanical solutions to survival, some (many, most?) of which we will never have even imagined.
What creatures would form under an intense magnetic field? In methane? In close orbit around a dim star? In a hot cloud nebula? Could we even recognize them as alive, much less intelligent? Definitely not if we're looking for bats and monkeys and octopuses
No, I think the whole genre of "life is much the same everywhere" suffers from a profound lack of imagination
4 years ago by NotSwift
Physics and chemistry impose some serious constraints on all life forms. On earth we have convergent evolution, independent groups of species independently develop similar solutions for a specific problem. Life on other planets will have similar problems, e.g. reproduction, locomotion and perception of its environment, and its solutions will probably be similar to the ones we have on earth.
4 years ago by ivoras
First we need to decide how intelligent are the dolphins, then let us look at the stars.
Every single life form on Earth today had exactly the same time to do its evolution in. Us, bats, dolphins, tapeworms, birch trees, amoeba, mushrooms, all of that had exactly the same chance(s) in the same time span.
And we don't even know if and how mushrooms and trees communicate, let alone if they "think", for our near-sighted definition of thoughts. We don't even know what to make of birds, e.g. crows, with respect to the size of their brains and what they can do.
Is our planet, taken as a whole, alive, in some form of the Gaia hypothesis? The correct answers as of this time are either "we don't know" or "it depends on the definition of alive."
That Star Trek trope of "everything in the Universe is just like us with different faces" really needs to be put to rest.
Even H.R. Giger was boring and unimaginative with regards to how he envisioned the Alien. That's clearly a creature influenced by Earth-ism - a quadruped, with a single head and mouth and a flexible spine and claws, it's basically a weird cat.
4 years ago by danjac
> That Star Trek trope of "everything in the Universe is just like us with different faces" really needs to be put to rest.
Budget constraints aside, Star Trek aliens were used as a prop to explore extremes of terrestrial human behaviour and culture from an outside perspective - take a human and remove emotions and have them governed purely by logic, you get a Vulcan. Take a human and exaggerate their tendencies towards violence and honour, you have a Klingon, and so on.
Even in the original series there were truly alien aliens - for example the Squire of Gothos was a being of pure energy who just assumed human form, Devil in the Dark had a silicon-based creature, and the Tholians were an intelligent crystalline species who could only exist in high temperatures.
4 years ago by samplatt
Even if you discount the semi-canonical explanation that the Alien was a mixture of human & "entirely fabricated" DNA, Giger's Alien was shaped the way it was for literally- and metaphorically-painful sexual artistic reasons, not as a serious hypothesis for alien life.
4 years ago by godelski
> First we need to decide how intelligent are the dolphins, then let us look at the stars.
The premise is wrong. The premise here is that intelligence is the only factor. Physics doesn't allow dolphins to enter the bronze age. Hell, even if dolphins grew arms and hands they couldn't enter the bronze age. They're probably smart enough to do so, but there are other factors limiting them.
We have looked at Earth. We can look to the stars at the same time. It isn't an "or" operation.
4 years ago by NL807
> Even H.R. Giger was boring and unimaginative with regards to how he envisioned the Alien. That's clearly a creature influenced by Earth-ism - a quadruped, with a single head and mouth and a flexible spine and claws, it's basically a weird cat.
When the franchise came into being, you're probably right. But in all fairness, the back story and the biological concepts in the Alien universe has been refined since then. For example, the human-like qualities of the xenomorph creature is now explained by the biological merger of an alien substance with the host. When a human was infected, the substance developed into a parasite that took-on characteristics of the host.
Fundamentally, the black goo (i.e. the substance) we saw in Prometheus was pretty much the source of all the alien creatures. It was basically an instrument that deconstructed existing life forms and rebuilt weaponised variants of them.
4 years ago by kenjackson
But changes in the environment and initial starting point can result in very different approaches. For example land mammals, reptiles and fish are quite different from each other. Because they've "always been here" we don't appreciate how different they are. Imagine if we had no fish and then found a planet with water that had fish in it -- that would seem absolutely shocking to see animals that could breathe underwater.
4 years ago by godelski
Honestly this would be pretty hard to imagine. Even if we had no concept of fish (which I find extremely unlikely given other evolutionary pressures, physics, and mechanics of life, but let's not go there) we would think "birds, but in a denser fluid." I don't think this would be "absolutely shocking" to biologists of that planet. Similarly like how biologists here have predicted methane based lifeforms. Now if we were talking about a fluid like sulfuric acid then yeah, that would be absolutely shocking, but not for the reasons of breathing (it's about electrons).
4 years ago by NotSwift
Both mammals and reptiles that live in the water use very similar methods even though they are not at all closely related. It is an example of convergent evolution.
4 years ago by vagrantJin
> Physics and chemistry impose some serious constraints on all life forms.
On earth's carbon based life forms you mean. Its a huge blindspot, basically monkeys looking for other monkeys. If we believe our life is sufficiently compelex biochemically, it figures that other "life" may have the same complexity but with very different structures.
So the argument for ET life to have almost exact homologs of terrestial life is bordering on naievete at best, and dangerously intolerant at worst.
4 years ago by 542354234235
No, its more like saying āour star and the planets and most satellites in the solar system are generally spherical due to gravity. I postulate that all stars and planets in the universe are subject to those same forces and will also generally be sphericalā. That isnāt a dangerously intolerant idea. We can say that life is unlikely to arise from a solid block of iron, due to what we understand about the atomic properties of iron, the possible chemical reactions, etc. There just isnāt much going on at a basic physics level for it to ādoā anything that could likely lead to even the most generous definition of ālifeā. That isnāt naivete.
It is your kind of fantastical thinking that life somewhere else somehow isnāt subject to the same physics as life here that is naive. Itās not wanting to be bound by boring concepts like chemical reactions, gravity, perceiving your environment in some way, etc. We donāt take people seriously that say that stars in other galaxies are actually the heads of long bright snakes and us thinking they are just boring balls of gas is our āblindspotā.
4 years ago by bmitc
> Physics and chemistry impose some serious constraints on all life forms.
What are those constraints? Can you enumerate some of them?
Also, physics and chemistry change under certain environments.
4 years ago by yourenotsmart
The example of convergence between fish and dolphins, birds and insects, the infamous "why does everything evolve into crabs" study and so on should tell us that while we should be open for radically different forms of life, the most likely outcomes will look like something we've seen here on Earth.
I'm personally expecting something like 80% humanoids and 20% exotic forms. Maybe I'm primed incorrectly by cheesy soap operas and sci-fi TV shows, but I think they're not far off (even if for unrelated reasons like SFX/VFX budget and character empathy).
4 years ago by spywaregorilla
Given how rare humanoid shape is on Earth, it doesn't seem especially sure that humanoids will be dominant among even intelligent life.
4 years ago by godelski
What are we referring to as humanoids though? And what are we about as intelligent? Crows? Crows aren't going to build spaceships and don't really have the means to because a beak isn't a great manipulator, even though they use tools. I don't think the person above is saying that quadrupeds would be out of the realm of possibility (maybe they are. IDK I'm a computer scientist, not a biologist. I could totally see body size, caloric intake ratios, and brain mass being related in a way that would make these unlikely), but rather things like fractaling appendages would be expected because intelligent life would need to have fine motor control. (Is a centaur humanoid?) There are just more efficient ways to do things than other ways. Yeah, maybe alien life will have a beak. Maybe their pupils will look different but I'd still expect them to have eyes with squishy lenses because that's pretty much required to be able to focus and intelligent creatures need to be able to sense things both near and far (without technological enhancements). Light sensing isn't enough if you want to build things, you need depth perception. I think if you follow this line of reasoning you'll find that a lot of attributes humans have would be pretty likely for intelligent alien life as well.
4 years ago by dtech
Arms+hands and a head with a similar face though.
A head is pretty universal because eyes are so important and a feeding hole near your sensory organs is a massive advantage.
Having hands seems almost a pre-requisite to become truly intelligent and tool-using.
4 years ago by JoeAltmaier
Hm. We have what, a dozen or more on Earth? Apes, monkeys, homo etc. Plus dozens of dinosaurs that stood on 2 legs. It seems pretty common.
4 years ago by dogorman
> convergence between fish and dolphins
The convergence between dolphins and ichthyosaurs is even more remarkable. Ichthyosaurs were marine reptiles; air breathing tetrapods that, like dolphins, had ancestors that walked on land but eventually returned to the sea to kick fish ass.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ichthyosaur#/media/File:Ichthy...
4 years ago by ncmncm
Bony fish evolved in rivers, and eventually returned to the sea to kick... what? Analogies fail.
Those fish are overwhelmingly more closely related to horses than to sharks.
4 years ago by mike_hock
Sure, organisms that already share a massive amount of commonalities can diverge and then converge again.
What about the branches that happened early on? We essentially have only two lineages of macroscopic organisms that are actually fundamentally different: Plants and animals.
I would expect any kind of macroscopic extraterrestrial life to be at least as distinct from Terran plant and animal life as they are from each other.
4 years ago by depressedpanda
> We essentially have only two lineages of macroscopic organisms that are actually fundamentally different: Plants and animals.
That's not true, we also have fungi as a macroscopic lineage.
Or maybe you put them in the plant group? If so, that's a mistake, as they are more closely related to animals than they are to plants.
4 years ago by yourenotsmart
DNA is extremely flexible, there's no macroscopic form or shape it can't take, as various insects camouflaging themselves as sticks and leaves and what not shows.
So the idea we'll see some vastly different concepts with different starting blocks is possibly unfounded.
Alien life might be very different at low level depending on their environment, but in terms of macroshapes, things like the formation of a head with eyes and mouth, upper and lower limbs, bilateral symmetry and so on will repeat over and over.
We'll see (in another life probably).
4 years ago by rendall
... on planets. That have a precise similarity to Earth. Sure, I can provisionally accept that.
4 years ago by autokad
I completely disagree. I think the 'life can look like anything' (lets call them LCLLAs) train of thought suffers from a lack of understanding of constraint satisfaction.
Think about how some LCLLAS talked about how silicon life is probably a thing. First off, it it were, given Earth's crust is mostly silicon and its the most habitual place ever discovered, it would have evolved here. but it didnt. It turns out silicon is just too ridged, and to get life going you need all sorts of chemical properties that just aren't congruent to life.
We are carbon / oxygen organisms for a chemical reason. despite the availability of other resources, other forms of lifeforms didn't develop for a reason. maybe other forms of life does exist in some methane ocean on Saturn like planets, but its not going to be very complex, and definitely not intelligent life building space ships.
4 years ago by gambiting
I'm just always surprised how can we be so certain? Even here on Earth, for millions of years, life was literally nothing more than single cell organisms - also definitely "not intelligent life building space ships". And it would be very hard to see how could it possibly evolve into such, seeing as the atmosphere was full of incredibly toxic oxygen.
The thing is, life has almost infinite time to evolve out of these various elements. The fact that it didn't evolve here on Earth means absolutely nothing, seeing as Earth alone has billions of years left where such life could arise, and there are literally countless planets everywhere in the universe where the random dice of evolution roll every second.
4 years ago by Retric
Itās a question of physics not just chemistry. Deuterium for example is similar to hydrogen chemically so while those differences are slightly toxic to us itās easy to assume a planet similar to earth with an abundance of deuterium and a lack of hydrogen would evolve life forms with the opposite preferences.
Except the ratio of hydrogen to deuterium is a function of astronomy and more specifically fusion. No naturally formed planet is going to end up with that imbalance. Which means no natural deuterium based life forms. So while some alien civilization create deuterium life, itās not going to be part of natural ecosystems.
And so it goes for most possible interesting edge cases. Dependency on rare elements like Neptunium means any competitors without that dependency have huge advantages.
4 years ago by depressedpanda
> seeing as Earth alone has billions of years left where such life could arise,
In case you didn't know, Earth has about one billion years of water left.
https://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2013/12/131216142310.h...
4 years ago by autokad
I would say, get your head out of your edge cases. Before I go on, I hope you understand no one is saying its not physically possible, and that it absolutely does not exist anywhere in the multiverse, just that if we come across other life, it will most likely be similar to our own.
by definition, the most probable form of life in the universe is the 1 we are observing. you only need math and probability to figure that out. We also have observational evidence. As far as we can tell, there is no other life in our solar system. We have 8 other planets and many moons that have failed at creating life in any form - that's literally hundreds of billions of years of failed attempts at life.
you can't just pick an element and think its going to work. you need ALL the elements, ALL the states of matter, and the right ratios and amounts of elements to work. Even if you get that lined up, expecting complex life to form under enough pressure to create diamonds in thousands of degrees centigrade also puts the probability of complex life off the table.
I don't known who this is hard to understand. in the simplest example as the article states, if you want to fly, there are things that necessitate something that will fly, such as wings. no wings, no fly. sure its POSSIBLE you can fly without wings, but UNLIKELY. given that we have multiple lineages of evolution taking different paths that end up with the same solution is evidence of that.
4 years ago by vimacs2
I disagree with this assessment of silicon based life. While it is true that Earth's crust is mostly silicon, it's also at a temperature that would make metabolic processes using silicon very difficult until you get down to the mantle.
It could be that silicon based life is in fact constrained by temperature and can only arise in planets where the mean temperature is in the thousands. This could in fact mean that we do have a parallel silicon based biosphere underneath our feet. There is obviously no evidence for this whatsoever but then again, there is no reason to assume that the occasional leakage in the form of volcanic eruptions would leave any trace that we could use to deduce that these samples were once living entities.
4 years ago by hackeraccount
Doesn't it intuitively seem like the life by definition would evolve out of any particular niche - say 1,000 Kilometers under the surface - to other areas?
I'm at best doubtful about life on Mars because I find it hard to imagine some form of life that occupies a small part of Mars i.e. it's only in the parts we haven't seen. I tend to think if there's any life on Mars it'll find a way to deal with the conditions on all of Mars. By the same token if there's any silicon based life then it'll pop up in places that we can find as well as those we can't. Maybe it does best in places we can't but surely there would be some oddball silicon based creature that would beat the odds.
The macro example would be the extinction of the South American marsupials when the North and South American land masses merged. All the placental animals in North America went south and all the marsupials in South America went extinct. Except for Opossums which for whatever weird reasons not only survived but went into North America.
4 years ago by hackeraccount
What's the path-dependency-ness of life? Like, once you have carbon based life to what degree does it preclude silicon based life from evolving? How often does a feature evolve sui generis when the nich that the feature exploits is already filled? Clearly it happens sometimes so if you've got a good enough angle you can step into something that's seemingly already covered.
For all that after several billion years it's just carbon based life forms in these parts. You'd think that there must be some area where silicon based life would provide an advantage. Unless it's a case that carbon based life is an overwhelmingly superior product but on some hypothetical world it's simply filled with silicon and there's virtually zero carbon.
4 years ago by giantrobot
Carbon is a way better chemical for life than silicon. It can form vastly longer chains and produces IIROCC (if I recall organic chemistry correctly) much more robust bonds.
Additionally we find organic molecules everywhere from comets to gas clouds in galaxies. We don't really find as much interesting silicon-based chemistry everywhere.
4 years ago by rendall
"Other forms of life didn't develop for a reason" isn't that convincing of an argument. We are somewhat knowledgeable about what chemical and physical processes can occur between, -100c to 1500C under 1atm or so, +-100 nanoteslas, in a timescale of under a human attention span. Beyond that, we become increasingly clueless.
We have only a single very specific data point. That, and the human tendency to opine confidently about that which we cannot know.
4 years ago by aaronblohowiak
Weirās latest book goes into this. (Ex: Audible hearing is based on the distribution of frequencies generated when solid bodies collide or rub.)
On the other hand, If life is that which can use an energy differential to create more order within it (an entropy pump) then sure there are likely forms of ālifeā out there that weād have a harder time imagining (that perhaps operate at physical scales and timescales beyond us ā thinking nebulae)
4 years ago by rendall
> Audible hearing is based on the distribution of frequencies generated when solid bodies collide or rub.
... in Earth-like conditions, and useful in Earth-like conditions. Vibration of denser or rarified gasses could require other solutions to exploit, if it's possible at all
> If life is that which can use an energy differential to create more order within it (an entropy pump)
Now that's the ticket! Under this definition, I suspect most life in the Universe is not carbon based, but far more exotic (to us)
4 years ago by yawaworht1978
We humans have only our definition of life form. These are limited by physics and our logic. However, we can't even see the whole universe, with no scientific break through, we never will. We don't exactly know the full story of the big bang, we can't explain the very beginning. We don't know what happens in black holes, our logic rules literally breaks down there. I could well be that there are life forms which we couldn't even imagine, which are not limited by our known physics. We know a little bit about space time and gravity and the elements. Dark matter still unexplained, no universal formula for everything in sight, i have seen DNA mentioned, maybe some creatures do not need any DNA. Too many factors are unresolved, we don't know whether there have been, are or will be totally different species. Imagine, at one point in history, earth didn't even exist, before animals, there were only bacteria. Earth lifetime is nothing on the grand scale of things. Humans are a more intelligent version of very common mammals. With a couple more things gone wrong, like a flu or smarter predator animal in the past, humans might have never come to be. I greatly appreciate scientists and people discovering and accumulating the knowledge, and I understand the scientific methods have to be followed accurately, else we diverge into pure speculation. But limiting possible alien life to earth like planets might not be all there is.
4 years ago by wuunderbar
> Earth lifetime is nothing on the grand scale of things.
Nit: Isn't the estimated age of the universe 14 billion and earth 4.5 billion? I wouldn't call that nothing.
4 years ago by tombh
> The universe could possibly avoid eternal heat death through random quantum tunnelling and quantum fluctuations, given the non-zero probability of producing a new Big Bang in roughly 10^10^10^56 years
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Future_of_an_expanding_univers...
4 years ago by varispeed
I used to explain to myself what was before the universe - that it simply didn't exist, just like myself didn't exist, but in fact my body is a continuation of life since its inception - like my parents knew their parents (or at very least they had a brief contact with their mothers), their parents knew their parents and so on back to something that sparked life, but that something also must have come from something. So still can't get my head around what was before the universe. I know these visualisations that show for example that something that has beginning and end can be divided infinitely, but when I picture it, this exists in some sort of space.
4 years ago by cletus
I expect that there are some things that are "universal" and some that aren't.
For example, if life--any life--forms on a planet, it is likely that some macro-organisms will evolve that consume other organisms.
On Earth we have plants that are eaten by animals that are eaten by other animals and so forth and these all act as a form of "battery" in that solar power is converted into energy and increasingly stored in larger "blobs". This is almost necessary for large life to exist. Well, for carnivores at least (eg many whales eat krill and there are a bunch of filter-feeders).
So the chemistry of life elsewhere may be similar or it may be totally different but something like a carnivorous trait is I think almost inevitable.
Once you have that then certain other traits became almost inevitable. Flight, for example. It may be that flight is impossible given local conditions (eg high gravity, atmosphere or the lack thereof). That doesn't mean we'll end up with feathers and birds per se but evolutionary pressure will likely mean available niches are filled. On Earth almost every environment has life, only really excluding the coldest, driest, highest and deepest of places.
Also, consider sensory organs. I expect the ability to detect parts of the EM spectrum, sound, taste/smell and tactile feedback will all likely evolve with sufficient time. And that itself has consequences for what life looks like.
4 years ago by xtracto
Great read, thanks. This is a very interesting subject to me. A couple of years ago I read a theory about alien life that was a bit different from this:
Given the age of our universe, sun, earth and humans:
Universe 14 000 million
Sun 4 600 million
Earth 4 550 million
Earth Life 3 500 million
Humans .2 million (200,000 years)
The probability of some alien life being within say, a range of [-.5 mllion, .5 million] of the life on earth is VERY slim. It is most likely that life out there is either in very early stages (protezoric) or that it is way farther than our current form (how will humanity look like in say, another 500,000 years?, assuming it continues to exist and evolve)4 years ago by jbotz
First, the article wasn't about human-like technological civilization, but just about life in general. And there are species of animals alive today that have hardly changed in 100s of millions of years. So Kershenbaum would be right if we found some life-forms that vaguely resembled for example a Coelacanth on some exoplanet.
Second, you're ignoring the fact that life as we think of it can really only evolve around at least 3rd-generation stars because you need enough heavy elements. That cuts the age of the "life-capable" universe by at least half, so the window of relatively modern life on earth with respect to the age of the life-capable Universe really isn't that small... let's say 350My out of 7Gy, so about 5%.
4 years ago by TedDoesntTalk
What are 3rd generation stars, and why do we believe that life āas we think of itācan only evolve around them?
4 years ago by dogma1138
Stars that formed in nebulae that had 2 previous cycles of star formation and super novae.
This means that the starās solar system at that point has sufficient quantities of heavy elements which cannot be produced by stellar fusion, as these elements are produced by super novae and from solar radiation.
Basically all the neutrons that are produced when a star goes boom create the elements that are above iron in the periodic table.
4 years ago by AnimalMuppet
First generation stars are stars that are formed from big-bang gas - mostly hydrogen, a bit of helium, a trace of lithium, and nothing more. Second generation stars are formed from the gasses blown off by the novas of first generation stars. Third generation stars are from the novas of second generation stars.
I suspect that the claim that life as we know it can only evolve there is because life as we know it needs a wide variety of chemical elements. We need carbon and oxygen, of course, but also iron and calcium and magnesium and potassium and so on. You're not going to get that around a first generation star. You might not get enough of it around a second generation star.
4 years ago by Jerrrry
Familar higher orders of complexity emerge far easier within systems with more states.
Due to our physical laws elements with larger rooms for reaction via chemistry are familar.
The chances of a replicating agent just anthropologically emerging from the surface of a 2nd generation hydrogen dominant star with an accumulation disc composed of little higher orders elements is inconceivably less likely than the relative petri dish organic molecules provide.
4 years ago by roberttod
Unless we just happen to have evolved very early on compared to what's normal, we should expect a lot of intelligent life with just a little bit of variance on these numbers. And some of that could easily be millions of years old. Interestingly, even if a life form populated new solar systems at a rate of a thousand years per system (where each populated solar system in turn populates more of them), they'd still fill up the Galaxy in only a couple million years.
4 years ago by dTal
Unless "intelligent" life inevitably renders its local environment uninhabitable and collapses in short order - a proposition looking more likely by the day. It may be that the intelligence required to maximally exploit the local negentropy is strictly less than the intelligence required to not do that, despite being able to. Indeed it's difficult to see how the trait of "behaving responsibly with an entire planet" could evolve - the selection pressure is rather all-or-nothing.
4 years ago by revscat
This is my belief as well, although slightly different in how I phrase it: humans are incapable of seeing much beyond their own selfish desires, and as a result will wind up causing their own extermination. The denial of death is widespread and understandable: to truly consider existential demise is exhausting, and I suspect has been backgrounded for simple evolutionary reasons.
Regardless, the species is naturally incapable of averting averting crises that are foreseeable but distant.
4 years ago by fleddr
Why is intelligence seen as some inescapable playbook of evolution?
Evolution has no agenda or goals, other than to select for survival. Most species on this planet have a low intelligence yet are successful, and don't seem to evolve into the direction of intelligence.
4 years ago by roberttod
For every planet with intelligent life, there could be many more without it, no idea what that relationship might look like. I'm not suggesting it's the norm.
4 years ago by sliken
That makes it sounds like it took 1 billion years for life to form. According to timelines I've read about (based on scientific papers) it took around 800M-900M years for the heavy bombardment to stop, and temperatures reduced similar to those of today. So once an environment friendly to life appeared, life appeared quickly.
4 years ago by willis936
This is assuming independent genesis. Panspermia has a lot of merit.
4 years ago by echelon
Panspermia is fascinating conjecture.
The preferred chirality of organic molecules could absolutely have arisen by chance, but it's an interesting to see this in meteorites.
On the unrelated subject of handedness, I saw an interesting thread on Twitter today [1] speaking about how we're starting to synthesize reverse chirality polymers and enzymes, most notably DNA and replication enzymes.
There are a lot of interesting implications.
You can't get rid of L-DNA without reverse DNase, leading to an accumulation of information and transcription. So they need to remake all the enzyme steroisomers.
That alone is interesting, but you can take it further to the limit and produce reverse biology that synthesizes reverse sugars that can't be metabolized by much of extant life [2]. Suddenly a lab-escaped reverse autotroph can out-compete all of us right-handed lifeforms because nothing can eat them. Bacteria, plankton, the entire food web collapses. When we have nothing left to fish or farm, we die too.
Never thought nanotech's grey goo was plausible. Now I see something that rhymes with it, and I could see it happening within our lifetimes.
It'd make a crazy MAD bioweapon on par with or potentially worse than nukes.
Wild tangent, sorry.
[1] https://twitter.com/eigenrobot/status/1420952351968432130
4 years ago by bookofsand
See also https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Great_Oxidation_Event.
> Such negative values occurring shortly after the GOE require a rapid reduction in primary productivity of >80%, although even larger reductions are plausible. Given that these data imply a collapse in primary productivity rather than export efficiency, the trigger for this shift in the Earth system must reflect a change in the availability of nutrients, such as phosphorus. Cumulatively, these data highlight that Earthās GOE is a tale of feast and famine: A geologically unprecedented reduction in the size of the biosphere occurred across the end-GOE transition.
4 years ago by piyh
A MAD weapon like that just becomes an AD weapon. A nuclear lab leak kills under 1,000 people. A living weapon lab leak would kill (nearly) every other living thing.
4 years ago by wizzwizz4
> because nothing can eat them
But I assume they're not immune-invulnerable.
4 years ago by radicaldreamer
I'm getting similar vibes to out of control gene drives created with crispr...
4 years ago by imglorp
Yes and there are two types of panspermia.
The first type is incidental: we've already encountered meteorites from Mars and the Moon, for example, so it's not hard to imagine life bearing material arriving that way.
The second would be intentional: either ET seeds planets or merely visits them with contaminated boots or probes.
Either way, we would pick up some DNA from offworld.
4 years ago by machiaweliczny
I think terdigrades might already be alien. How they evolved on earth?
4 years ago by superduperycomb
I believe if you look at their genetics they fit snugly within the tree of life
4 years ago by stefs
tardigrades might have some very cool properties, but nothing out of the ordinary.
4 years ago by jnwatson
The first life we encounter from another civilization might not be evolved at all. Presumably a civilization with the capability of interstellar travel might also have the technology to manipulate the underpinning of life itself.
In fact, if we do discover something from another civilization, it is quite reasonable that it would be some sort of Von Neumann probe. It might be made of mechanical parts, "biological" parts, or something in between.
A Von Neumann probe would be highly engineered, and might have no trace of evolution to it.
4 years ago by drdeadringer
I recall a scifi story by Stephen Baxter where a human-made probe on Mars eventually evolved into advanced, aware, spacefaring Von Neumann probes. After a few million years, one curious probe traces serial numbers back to Earth in search of their creators. However, humans had devolved back into a type of monkey that was directly symbiotic with a literal tree of life. The probe concluded that such a primitive creature could never have developed technology, and left.
4 years ago by TedDoesntTalk
Story name?
4 years ago by undefined
4 years ago by drdeadringer
The book 'Evolution' by Stephen Baxter.
Wikipedia article here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Evolution_(Baxter_novel)
4 years ago by r_police
Evolution by Baxter
4 years ago by sandworm101
>> A Von Neumann probe ... might have no trace of evolution to it.
Except that the very fact that it exists represents many evolved traits. If they are sending probes then their are either curious or expansionist, both evolved traits tied to competition for resources and/or survival. A species totally devoid of any history of evolutionary pressures wouldn't act that way, which is one of many possible great filters: once we have access to the infinite resources of space, perhaps we just stop caring and don't bother expanding. Such logic allows us to learn much simply from the existence of an otherwise silent Von Neumann probe.
4 years ago by sigg3
In all likelihood, yes.
But when dealing with infinity, we must appreciate the likelihood of the unlikely too.
Personally, I favor the prospect of the insanely lucky idiot race, that clumsily and completely by chance manage to launch a probe so seemingly sophisticated that every sentient race that discovers it readily submit to its perceived superiority.
4 years ago by sandworm101
There are no real infinities. The universe might be infinite, but the bit of it we can see and/or ever interact with is not (speed of light + expansion). So there are a finite number of stars that we will ever be able to touch before the universe goes dark. And the universe seems to have had a finite starting point. So we can calculate which stars may ever reach out to us. These are very big numbers, but they are not infinite.
Unless star trek is real. Faster than light travel opens up the door to infinities.
4 years ago by XorNot
Well also, a Von Neumann probe is a type of life. It's very unlikely that a self-replicating machine would not develop it's own technological drift in the replication protocol.
4 years ago by JetSetWilly
Not only that - for all we know a biological civilsiation could have existed 3 billion years ago which then spawned a machine civilisation that now has as much relation to its distant origins as we do to some prebiotic soup on Hadean earth.
4 years ago by legrande
> It might be made of mechanical parts, "biological" parts, or something in between
Or just a digital clone of a once-biological being that can live for infinity exploring the Universe. Why would you explore the Universe in a meat suit?
4 years ago by LaMarseillaise
You enjoy proximity to other meat suits?
Without that, it sounds to me more like hell than heaven.
4 years ago by emteycz
Why not beam yourself into a meatsuit over the internet?
4 years ago by ignoranceprior
If Star Trek taught me anything, it's that most aliens look like humans, except for some bumps on their forehead. Hodgkin's Law of Parallel Planetary Development.
4 years ago by ASalazarMX
Star Trek TNG kind of lampshaded that in "The Chase", where its is revealed that alien species are similar and biologically compatible because they share a common humanoid ancestor.
4 years ago by sydthrowaway
The actress is also The main Founder in DS9
4 years ago by dtagames
I read somewhere that the most likely "alien" visitor is a bacterium, virus, or other organism that rode here on a meteor fragment. That achieves interstellar travel without the need or intelligence or intent. It was also the subject of the terrific movie The Andromeda Strain.
4 years ago by birdyrooster
Also for me was the scariest movie I saw growing up even against Childās Play, Halloween, Friday 13th.
4 years ago by mimixco
Yes! Still scary. The realism of it is alarming to this day.
4 years ago by ncmncm
It has no realism at all. Why would an organism with no experience of Earth environment outcompete life evolved to it?
4 years ago by actusual
This is interesting, and I have a more mathematical way of thinking about this.
If we were somehow able to segment evolutionary pressures, and normalize their values such that they sum to one, I'd hypothesize that as the average evolutionary pressure goes to zero (meaning high number of evolutionary pressures that are generally uniformly distributed), then this author's hypothesis is true. But as the average evolutionary pressure grows (fewer pressures, or highly skewed distribution of pressures), I imagine it would lead to VERY different looking life. I'd also hypothesize that as the average value increases, it leads to system instability.
4 years ago by undefined
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